: What will end the war in Ukraine? #IndiaNEWS In a matter of days, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has escalated to one of the biggest military conflicts in Europe since the Second World War. The fog

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What will end the war in Ukraine? #IndiaNEWS
In a matter of days, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has escalated to one of the biggest military conflicts in Europe since the Second World War. The fog of war can obscure our view of who is winning, who is losing, and how long all of this will last. While no one can provide definitive answers, academic research on war gives us some insights into how the conflict in Ukraine might unfold.Research suggests that the path to war resembles a bargaining game, where countries compete over issues like territory and resources to patriotism or the style of governance. Rather than going to war, which is very costly, competing states prefer to settle these disagreements peacefully. Ideally, the two sides do this based upon their relative probabilities of winning a hypothetical war. Sometimes this is not possible and war occurs.War is, usually, the result of one of three problems. First, states might not have enough information to assess their relative probabilities of success.Second, the two sides might not trust that an agreement made today will be honoured tomorrow. Finally, countries might not be able to settle the contentious issue, especially when ethnic, religious or ideological tensions are involved.According to this approach, wars will end when the problem that caused the war is...Read more

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