: Covid-19: Without lockdown, one patient could infect 406 others in 30 days, says health official #IndiaNEWS In the absence of any social distancing or lockdown measures, one coronavirus positive person

Covid-19: Without lockdown, one patient could infect 406 others in 30 days, says health official #IndiaNEWS
In the absence of any social distancing or lockdown measures, one coronavirus positive person could infect 406 others in 30 days, joint health secretary Lav Agarwal said in a press briefing on Tuesday. This is based on the assumption that R-naught or the virusâ€™s basic reproductive number is 2.5, that is, one person can infect 2.5 others on average, he said, citing a study for which he did not give more details. He simultaneously spoke of a study by the Indian Council of Medical Research which estimated the R-naught of coronavirus to be between 1.5 and 4. Agarwalâ€™s comments led to confusion, with many news reports, including in Scroll.in, wrongly attributing the finding of 406 potential infections from one coronavirus patient in a month to the ICMR.On Wednesday, Agarwal clarified through a spokesperson of the health ministry that this number was not based on an ICMR study, but on â€œa study by some faculty members of Universitiep Ëˆ]H™ÜÈœšYYš[™ËHYØZYˆ8 'HÛÝ[ZÙHÈ[[ÝHX›Ý][›ÝˆÝYKˆÙH]™H™Y[ˆÛÛœÝ[H[Ú[™ÈX›Ý]H[Ü[˜ÙHÙˆÛØÚX[Ý[˜Ú[™È[™ØÚÙÝÛ‹›ÜˆÚXÚ™HÈH™]ÈÝYK‹‹•™HÈHYXÝ™HØ[Y‹[˜]YÚÚXÚÚÝÜÈÝÈX[žH[ÜHØ[ˆÛ™H[™™XÝYœÛÛ‹‹‹”™XY[Ü™H

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